Labour leadership: Gordon Brown to speak on party contest

<figure class="lead media-landscape full-width no-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 32px -54.21875px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="Gordon Brown" class="js-image-replace" height="351" src="http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/6DB1/production/_84918082_84917584.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 645.78125px;" width="624" /></figure><div class="story-body__introduction" style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 28px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Gordon Brown is to intervene in Labour's leadership race for the first time, saying the party needs credible economic policies to win power.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 23px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">He is also expected to say he strongly disagrees with many of Jeremy Corbyn's economic and foreign policies.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">His comments come <a class="story-body__link-external" href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/jeremy-corbyn-would-reduce-labours-chances-of-winning-the-next-election-poll-reveals-10457458.html" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;">as a poll suggests</a> Mr Corbyn is considered the candidate most likely to worsen Labour's prospects of winning the next election.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">The other leader candidates are Yvette Cooper, Liz Kendall and Andy Burnham.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Voting has now opened in the contest to replace former party leader Ed Miliband.</span></div> <ul class="story-body__unordered-list" style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; list-style: none; margin: 18px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><a class="story-body__link" href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-32654262" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white; color: black;">Everything you need to know about the four candidates hoping to become the next Labour leader</span></a></li> </ul> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Mr Brown, the former prime minister, will deliver an address on "power for a purpose".</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">It comes after his predecessor at Number 10, Tony Blair, warned that <a class="story-body__link-external" href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/aug/12/tony-blair-labour-faces-annihilation-if-jeremy-corbyn-wins-leadership" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;">Labour risked annihilation</a> if it elects Mr Corbyn - currently seen as the front-runner.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Paul Sinclair, a former adviser to Mr Brown, told the BBC: "I think he'll be a little bit more conciliatory than Tony Blair has been, but no less unequivocal."</span></div> <figure class="media-landscape body-width no-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 24px -24.640625px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="line" class="js-image-replace" datasrc="http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/464/cpsprodpb/9A9D/production/_84918593_line976.jpg" height="2" src="http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/9A9D/production/_84918593_line976.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 616.203125px;" width="464" /></figure><div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <strong style="background-color: white; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">Analysis: Alex Forsyth, political correspondent, BBC News</strong></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Those following Labour's leadership contest have been awaiting Gordon Brown's view with interest.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">The former prime minister has form on powerful interventions. During the Scottish referendum he delivered a tub-thumbing speech in the final week, much credited with boosting the pro-union campaign.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Today he may stop short of criticising individual candidates, but his message will undoubtedly be interpreted in light of the continued popularity of Jeremy Corbyn. So far warnings about his possible victory from Labour's big beasts, including Tony Blair, Alistair Campbell and Alan Johnson, don't seem to have dented his campaign.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">And given that his supporters believe he represents a new politics, they may not heed such criticism from established politicians.</span></div> <figure class="media-landscape body-width no-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 24px -24.640625px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="line" class="js-image-replace" datasrc="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/464/cpsprodpb/C1AD/production/_84918594_line976.jpg" height="2" src="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/C1AD/production/_84918594_line976.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 616.203125px;" width="464" /></figure><div class="media-placeholder narrative-video-placeholder enabled" data-media-meta="{"duration":"PT1M42S","available":true,"image":{"height":360,"width":640,"href":"http:\/\/c.files.bbci.co.uk\/C27F\/production\/_84919794_84919793.jpg","altText":"Liz Kendall, MP","copyrightHolder":"BBC","originCode":"cpsprodpb"},"mimeType":"application\/xml","href":"http:\/\/playlists.bbc.co.uk\/news\/uk-politics-33951257A\/playlist.sxml","externalId":"p02zv2bt","caption":"Liz Kendall MP: \u0022Jeremy Corbyn is doing really well but I am not going to stop fighting for what I believe in\u0022","allowOffSiteEmbedding":false,"live":false,"entityType":"Version","durationInSeconds":102}" data-media-type="video" id="84919960" style="border: 0px; 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Press enter to return or tab to continue.</span></a></div> </div> </div> <figcaption class="media-caption" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span class="off-screen" style="border: 0px !important; clip: rect(1px 1px 1px 1px); font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: 1px !important; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px !important; position: absolute !important; vertical-align: baseline; width: 1px !important;"><span style="background-color: white;">Media caption</span></span><span class="media-caption__text" style="border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.23077; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;">Liz Kendall MP: "Jeremy Corbyn is doing really well but I am not going to stop fighting for what I believe in"</span></span></figcaption></figure></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">A ComRes study of 2,035 adults in Britain, for the Independent on Sunday and Sunday Mirror, found 31% of those polled thought Mr Corbyn would worsen Labour's prospects of electoral success.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Ms Cooper was rated as 18%, Ms Kendall as 17% and Mr Burnham as 14% - making him the poll's least damaging candidate.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Conversely, 21% thought Mr Corbyn would be most likely to boost Labour's chances of winning the next election, while Mr Burnham polled 19%, Ms Cooper 15% and Ms Kendall 11%.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">None of the candidates, though, proved as popular in the poll as former foreign secretary David Miliband, who was defeated by his brother Ed at the last Labour leadership contest.</span></div> <figure class="media-landscape body-width no-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 24px -24.640625px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="line" class="js-image-replace" datasrc="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/464/media/images/76020000/jpg/_76020974_line976.jpg" height="2" src="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/media/images/76020000/jpg/_76020974_line976.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 616.203125px;" width="464" /></figure><h2 class="story-body__crosshead" style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; font-weight: inherit; line-height: 1.2; margin: 18px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white; font-size: small;">Labour leadership contest</span></h2> <figure class="media-landscape full-width has-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 24px -24.640625px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="Liz Kendall, Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper and Jeremy Corbyn" class="js-image-replace" datasrc="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/65C5/production/_84435062_028115744-1.jpg" height="351" src="http://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/65C5/production/_84435062_028115744-1.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 616.203125px;" width="624" /><figcaption class="media-caption" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 16px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span class="media-caption__text" style="border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.23077; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;">Liz Kendall has been urged to back Andy Burnham or Yvette Cooper to defeat Jeremy Corbyn</span></span></figcaption></figure><ul class="story-body__unordered-list" style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; list-style: none; margin: 18px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">Who are the candidates? </span>Andy Burnham, Yvette Cooper, Jeremy Corbyn, Liz Kendall</span></li> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">Dates:</span> Ballot papers were sent out on 14 August; voting can take place by post or online. They must be returned by 10 September. The result is on 12 September</span></li> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">Who can vote? </span>All party members, registered supporters and affiliated supporters - including those joining via a union</span></li> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">What is the voting system? </span>The Alternative Vote system is being used so voters are asked to rank candidates in order of preference</span></li> <li class="story-body__list-item" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: 1.375; list-style: square outside; margin: 18px 0px 0px 20px; padding: 0px 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"><span style="background-color: white;"><span style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: 700; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">How does it work?</span> If no candidate gets 50% of all votes cast, the candidate in fourth place is eliminated. Their second preference votes are then redistributed among the remaining three. If there is still no winner, the third place candidate is eliminated with their second preferences (or third in the case of votes transferred from the fourth place candidates) redistributed. It is then a head-to-head between the last two candidates</span></li> </ul> <figure class="media-landscape body-width no-caption" style="border: 0px; clear: both; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 16px; margin: 24px -24.640625px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><img alt="line" class="js-image-replace" datasrc="http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/464/media/images/76020000/jpg/_76020974_line976.jpg" height="2" src="http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/media/images/76020000/jpg/_76020974_line976.jpg" style="-webkit-user-select: none; border: 0px; display: block; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; height: auto; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; width: 616.203125px;" width="464" /></figure><div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Mr Brown's speech comes as Mr Burnham claimed he was the only candidate capable of blocking Mr Corbyn and preventing a split within the party.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white; color: black;"><a class="story-body__link-external" href="http://www.mirror.co.uk/all-about/sunday-people" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;">He told the Sunday People:</a> "In the 80s, we started fighting each other and left the way clear for Margaret Thatcher to bulldoze her way through Labour communities.</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">"I'm not going to let that happen this time."</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">The BBC's political correspondent Carole Walker said it was unclear whether the former prime minister would declare his support for Ms Cooper - though it is understood he believes she is the best candidate.</span></div> <div class="idt__news ns_datapic_stat ns_datapic_stat--labour-leadership newsspec_infographic_template" style="border: 0px; font-family: Arial; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 1em 0px; max-width: 624px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <div class="ns_outer_wrapper ns_outer_wrapper__align-bottom" style="background-image: url(http://ichef-1.bbci.co.uk/news/624/cpsprodpb/AE54/production/_84882644_16179c9e-7a33-41ff-8af1-853fcafbeaa5.jpg); background-position: 100% 100%; background-repeat: no-repeat; background-size: cover; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: baseline;"> <div class="ns_inner_wrapper" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 0px; max-width: 40%; padding: 0px 1.875em 0px 1.4375em; vertical-align: baseline; width: 236.625px;"> <h2 class="ns_title " style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 8px 0px 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white; font-size: small;">Labour leadership poll</span></h2> <div class="ns_header" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 0px 0px 12px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <div class="ns_super_impact ns_header_left" style="border: 0px; float: left; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 0px 30px 0px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <div class="ns_super_impact__fig" style="border: 0px; clear: none; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; margin-top: 0em; padding: 0px 0px 4px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">610,753</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; clear: none; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">total electorate, though this may fall as party removes those not entitled to vote</span></div> </div> </div> <ul class="ns_impact-figures ns_separator" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: none; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; border-top-color: rgb(204, 204, 204); border-top-style: solid; border-width: 1px 0px 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px; padding: 8px 0px 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <li class="ns_impact " style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: none; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 0.875em; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; clear: none; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Of which, full party members:<span class="ns_impact__fig" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 5px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">299,755</span></span></div> </li> <li class="ns_impact " style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: none; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 0.875em; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; clear: none; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Affiliated to a trade union:<span class="ns_impact__fig" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 5px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">189,703</span></span></div> </li> <li class="ns_impact " style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: none; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; list-style: none; margin: 0px 0px 0.875em; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"><div style="border: 0px; clear: none; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Registered to vote by paying £3:<span class="ns_impact__fig" style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 5px 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;">121,295</span></span></div> </li> </ul> <div class="ns_footer ns_small-text " style="border: 0px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; letter-spacing: inherit; margin: 8px 0px 0px; padding: 0px 0px 8px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Source: Labour Party</span></div> </div> </div> </div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Meanwhile, Mr Corbyn has promised to "stand up" for businesses who "want to cooperate and innovate for the public good".</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white; color: black;"><a class="story-body__link-external" href="http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/aug/15/jeremy-corbyn-pledge-pro-business-back-entrepreneurs" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;">He told the Observer:</a> "The current government seems to think 'pro-business' means giving a green light to corporate tax avoiders and private monopolies."</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Ms Cooper has criticised some of Mr Corbyn's anti-austerity policies, telling <a class="story-body__link-external" href="http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/yvette-cooper-accuses-jeremy-corbyn-6259583" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(17, 103, 168, 0.298039); border-bottom-color: rgb(220, 220, 220); border-bottom-style: solid; border-width: 0px 0px 1px; font-family: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: bold; letter-spacing: inherit; line-height: inherit; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration: none; vertical-align: baseline;">the Sunday Mirror</a>: "I don't think the answer is what Jeremy has proposed, which is basically printing money that we haven't got to build things."</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Ms Kendall told the BBC she also wanted "a radical Labour government", but added: "I want a credible Labour Party that can oppose the Tories and win elections."</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">Former Labour minister Kim Howells told BBC Radio 4's Broadcasting House programme the party was in "big trouble".</span></div> <div style="border: 0px; font-family: Helmet, Freesans, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-stretch: inherit; line-height: 1.375; margin-top: 18px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: baseline;"> <span style="background-color: white;">"I think we'll probably have at least one more Labour leadership election before the next general election," he said, "because if Jeremy Corbyn is elected then I'm afraid the other political parties are going to zero in on the more controversial parts of his beliefs and policies and they're going to rubbish them."</span></div>

Labour leadership: Gordon Brown to speak on party contest

Gordon Brown is to intervene in Labour's leadership race for the first time, saying the party needs credible economic policies to win p...

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What ‘100 Percent Effective’ Means for That Ebola Vaccine

<figure class="post-thumbnail" itemprop="associatedMedia" itemscope="" itemtype="http://schema.org/ImageObject" style="background-color: #f9f9f9; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin: 0px 0px 20px; position: relative; text-align: center;"><img alt="A health worker, left, injects a man in his arm with an Ebola vaccine in Conakry, Guinea, March 7, 2015. The World Health Organization will start large-scale testing of an experimental Ebola vaccine in Guinea on Saturday to see how effective it might be in preventing future outbreaks of the deadly virus. The West African nations of Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea have been hardest hit in the yearlong Ebola outbreak, which is estimated to have left more than 9,800 people dead. (AP Photo/ Youssouf Bah)" class="attachment-larg wp-post-image disappear appear" height="388" src="http://goldenzine.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/AP692948503183-582x388.jpg" style="border: 0px; display: block; height: auto; max-width: 100%; opacity: 1; transition: all 0.4s ease-in-out; vertical-align: middle;" width="582" /></figure><div class="entry-content-data " style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; float: left; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-right: 20px; position: relative; width: 164px; z-index: 10;"> </div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> LAST WEEK, THE medical journal the Lancet published preliminary results on the efficacy of an Ebola vaccine in Guinea, and everybody got really excited—especially about one particular figure. The vaccine, the results suggested, was 100 percent effective at protecting against Ebola, a thrilling prospect in the face of an epidemic that has killed more than 11,000 people. That number is why <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD11" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">Doctors Without Borders</span> is recommending distribution of the vaccine begin as soon as possible in the west African countries where Ebola is still killing people.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> But that number probably means less than you think it does. It’s based on incomplete data, so it doesn’t have the statistical clout it should. And it never will. Based on the vaccine’s early success, the trial’s runners decided that all participants in the study should get it immediately after exposure. That’s a perfectly reasonable, humane reaction, but it also means that the researchers will never be able to collect better data on the vaccine’s efficacy, which is what regulators look for when they’re deciding to <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD4" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">approve</span> a drug. In other words, the vaccine’s early success could make it harder for people to get it down the line.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> The main thing that makes the new vaccine, rVSV-ZEBOV, seem so great? There’s simply nothing else available. Trials of Ebola vaccines have been almost impossibly difficult to pull off. In the midst of a massive public health crisis, international and local <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD3" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">health organizations</span> had to design studies that they could carry out in unstable, sometimes remote regions while producing useful data about safety and efficacy. “It’s a high-risk thing to take on a large scale vaccine trial,” says Anne Schuchat, director of the CDC’s National Center for <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD2" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">Immunization</span> and Respiratory Diseases. “It usually takes a few years to lay the groundwork.”</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> With that in mind, this clinical trial’s speed—moving from Phase I safety to Phase III efficacy tests in under a year—is impressive. But by the time efficacy trials started around April, the epidemic had already begun to calm down. That was a great thing for west Africa—but not such a good thing for statisticians. With fewer people exposed to Ebola, it’s harder for studies like the one in Guinea to find community clusters where it makes sense to test the vaccine. The problem was even more pronounced for a parallel study being carried out in Sierra Leone by the CDC and their partners, which focused on testing the vaccine’s ability to prevent infection in health care workers.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> Here’s why: The Guinea trial of the vaccine tested efficacy by comparing infection rates in two groups. One got vaccinated one to three days after confirmation of an Ebola infection nearby; the other got vaccinated three weeks later. The Sierra Leone trial, in contrast, delayed vaccination to one of their groups by a full six months. Because the epidemic subsided in the intervening months, it’s hard to know what the resulting data actually means. Did the vaccine stop infections, or did the infections just stop? “As the Sierra Leone epidemic has come under control, we think it’s not likely that we’re going to be able to measure efficacy in our trial,” Schuchat says.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> That makes the Guinea trial even more important. Typically, regulators like the US<span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD5" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">Food and Drug Administration</span> require very high standards of proof to approve a vaccine, especially for preventive use—like getting a shot for Hepatitis B before traveling. In terms of efficacy data those regulators will look at, Guinea is it. And now there’s an extra wrinkle: Because the vaccine’s interim results looked so good, the Guinea trial is no longer randomizing the <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD12" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">recipients</span> of the vaccine. Everybody who gets placed into one of the study’s clusters will get it immediately, no delay. Again: great for west Africa, not so good for the statisticians.<br />What the statisticians do have to work with—that 100 percent efficacy—isn’t as mind-blowing as you might assume. Of the immediately-vaccinated people, none displayed <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD1" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">symptoms</span> 10 or more days after vaccination, compared to 16 infections in the group of 2,380 that was assigned to get vaccines three weeks late. (It take two to 21 days for symptoms to manifest after infection, so a person who came down withsymptoms in those first 10 days could have been infected before the vaccine took effect.)</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> Those 16 infections in the delayed vaccination group are what makes the 100 percent efficacy statement a little less awesome. From press <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD9" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">reports</span> last week, you’d think the vaccine protected every single person who received it. But it actually just means that it prevented Ebola infection in the subset of those people who were actually exposed to the virus. And exposure levels, thanks to the waning epidemic, were actually pretty low—meaning the total opportunities for the vaccine to show its stuff were pretty limited.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> In the group of 4,123 people who were supposed to get the vaccine as soon as possible, 2,109 people didn’t actually get it—they were too young, breastfeeding, or declined to consent to the study. Of those unvaccinated people, only eight got Ebola. Eight out of 2,109! It’s reasonable to assume that a similar number of people who actually got the vaccine were exposed. That means that in reality the vaccine only prevented, ballpark, eight infections in a group of 2,014 people. Not a ton to base a statistical analysis on.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> Now, the trial’s runners are put in a difficult position: The study as they originally designed it is functionally over. A few more data points may come out to supplement the original efficacy analysis in the Guinea trial, but it’s only possible for those numbers to go down. “It won’t budge that much,” says study co-author Rebecca Grais, of Doctors Without Borders. “But if you added, let’s say, a couple of vaccine failures, it’ll decrease the efficacy.”</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> Those numbers, even if they get <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD10" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">knocked</span> down a few notches, will still be pretty phenomenal. But thanks to the design of the other major vaccine study, they’re the only phenomenal results regulatory agencies will get to look at. Going forward, the two main trials of rVSV-ZEBOV in Guinea and Sierra Leone will have to combine forces and present a patchwork combination of early efficacy data along with information about safety and the immune response that the vaccine provokes. (The Sierra Leone sponsors, including the CDC, don’t think they’ll get efficacy, but they expect to get plenty of good safety and immunogenicity data.) “It’ll be an<span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD8" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">accumulation</span> and triangulation of data,” says Grais.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> That process will be difficult, because the trials were designed to answer different questions, explain Grais and Schucher. The Guinea trial looks at a ring vaccination scheme—testing the contacts (and contacts of contacts) of an Ebola-infected person to see if a vaccine can act fast enough to stop the spread in a community. While the answer so far appears to be yes, that’s not a yes to the question posed by the Sierra Leone trial: whether a vaccine can offer long-term protection against infection for people like health care workers.</div> <div style="background-color: white; color: #7e7e7e; font-family: sans-serif; font-size: 14px; line-height: 22px; margin-bottom: 20px;"> The early results out of Guinea were enough to convince the trial’s data safety and monitoring board to pull the <span class="IL_AD" id="IL_AD6" style="background-attachment: scroll !important; background-clip: initial !important; background-color: transparent !important; background-image: none !important; background-origin: initial !important; background-position: 0% 50%; background-repeat: repeat !important; background-size: initial !important; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; border-bottom-style: solid !important; border-bottom-width: 1px !important; color: rgb(0, 153, 0) !important; cursor: pointer !important; display: inline !important; float: none !important; padding: 0px 0px 1px !important; position: static; text-decoration: underline !important;">emergency brake</span> and start giving the vaccine to every person in the study. Now they’ll just have to hope that regulators agree.</div>

What ‘100 Percent Effective’ Means for That Ebola Vaccine

LAST WEEK, THE medical journal the Lancet published preliminary results on the efficacy of an Ebola vaccine in Guinea, and everybody got ...

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